Barcelona vs Sevilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.2%
Win probability
3.75
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.5%
8-0
0.9%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
0.1%
+8
1.3%
7-0
1.9%
8-1
0.8%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
2.9%
6-0
3.5%
7-1
1.8%
8-2
0.4%
9-3
0.1%
+6
5.8%
5-0
5.7%
6-1
3.3%
7-2
0.8%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
10%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
5.3%
6-2
1.6%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
14.7%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
7.1%
5-2
2.5%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
18.2%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.4%
8.4%
Draw
0-0
0.9%
1-1
3.3%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
8.4%
5.1%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
0.9%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
3.6%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 1961 |
SLB
3 - 2
FCB
73%
14%
12%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 May. 1961 |
ESP
2 - 1
FCB
26%
23%
51%
|
90 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1961 |
FCB
2 - 3
ESP
93%
5%
2%
|
90 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1961 |
SPO
2 - 4
FCB
16%
20%
63%
|
90 | 58 | 32 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1961 |
FCB
7 - 1
SPO
96%
3%
1%
|
90 | 59 | 31 | 0 |
Matches
Sevilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 1961 |
SEV
1 - 0
VAD
70%
17%
13%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 1961 |
VAD
3 - 1
SEV
53%
21%
27%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 May. 1961 |
SEV
4 - 1
MLL
76%
15%
10%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1961 |
MLL
2 - 0
SEV
38%
23%
39%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1961 |
SEV
8 - 0
CON
83%
10%
7%
|
82 | 21 | 61 | 0 |