Copa del Rey Last 16
Global 5-1
Barcelona vs Sevilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.6%
Win probability
3.11
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.2%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.9%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.7%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
2.3%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
16%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.7%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.6%
13.4%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
13.4%
11%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
7%
0-2
1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 1951 |
SEV
1 - 2
FCB
63%
17%
20%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1951 |
FCB
2 - 1
ATH
63%
18%
20%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1951 |
ESP
6 - 0
FCB
46%
22%
33%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1951 |
SEV
4 - 0
FCB
56%
20%
24%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 1951 |
FCB
7 - 2
MAL
81%
11%
8%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Sevilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 1951 |
SEV
1 - 2
FCB
63%
17%
20%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1951 |
SEV
1 - 1
ATM
57%
19%
23%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1951 |
ATH
3 - 0
SEV
75%
13%
12%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1951 |
SEV
4 - 0
FCB
56%
20%
24%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1951 |
SEV
3 - 1
DEP
73%
15%
12%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |