Copa del Rey Last 16
Global 5-1
Barcelona vs Sevilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.8%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.7%
24.5%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 1942 |
SEV
1 - 2
FCB
69%
16%
16%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1942 |
FCB
4 - 0
TER
87%
9%
5%
|
80 | 47 | 33 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1942 |
TER
2 - 1
FCB
20%
20%
61%
|
81 | 45 | 36 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 1942 |
FCB
3 - 1
CAS
77%
13%
11%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 1942 |
OVI
1 - 1
FCB
59%
18%
23%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Sevilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 1942 |
SEV
1 - 2
FCB
69%
16%
16%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1942 |
SEV
4 - 1
SDC
88%
8%
4%
|
83 | 56 | 27 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1942 |
SDC
3 - 2
SEV
25%
21%
54%
|
83 | 55 | 28 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1942 |
ATM
0 - 0
SEV
64%
18%
18%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1942 |
SEV
2 - 2
DEP
81%
12%
8%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |