Champions League Quarter-finals
Global 2-0
Barcelona vs Schalke 04 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.2%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
10%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.8%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.9%
9.9%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2008 |
FCB
0 - 0
GET
71%
18%
11%
|
94 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2008 |
S04
0 - 1
FCB
20%
25%
55%
|
94 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2008 |
BET
3 - 2
FCB
19%
24%
57%
|
94 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2008 |
FCB
4 - 1
VAD
76%
16%
9%
|
94 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2008 |
VCF
3 - 2
FCB
30%
26%
44%
|
94 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Schalke 04
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2008 |
S04
1 - 0
ROS
63%
23%
14%
|
87 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2008 |
S04
0 - 1
FCB
20%
25%
55%
|
87 | 94 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2008 |
KSC
0 - 0
S04
25%
25%
50%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2008 |
HER
1 - 2
S04
28%
26%
45%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2008 |
S04
2 - 1
MSV
64%
22%
14%
|
87 | 71 | 16 | 0 |