Champions League Playoffs Quarter-finals
Global 4-4
Barcelona vs Roma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.8%
Win probability
3.23
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.8%
6-0
3%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.2%
5-0
5.5%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.2%
4-0
8.6%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.6%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.7%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.9%
9.9%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
9.9%
5.2%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.9%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
SEV
2 - 2
FCB
13%
19%
69%
|
96 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
FCB
2 - 0
ATH
93%
5%
1%
|
96 | 84 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2018 |
FCB
3 - 0
CHL
84%
11%
6%
|
96 | 90 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
MAL
0 - 2
FCB
6%
15%
80%
|
96 | 83 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
FCB
1 - 0
ATM
81%
12%
7%
|
96 | 92 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
BOL
1 - 1
ROM
17%
21%
63%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
CRO
0 - 2
ROM
13%
19%
68%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2018 |
ROM
1 - 0
SHA
56%
22%
22%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2018 |
ROM
3 - 0
TOR
59%
21%
19%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2018 |
NAP
2 - 4
ROM
69%
18%
13%
|
87 | 91 | 4 | 0 |