Barcelona vs Real Zaragoza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.2%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.7%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.4%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.6%
8.2%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 1984 |
RMA
0 - 3
FCB
56%
23%
22%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 1984 |
ATM
2 - 1
FCB
48%
26%
26%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 1984 |
FCB
1 - 2
ATM
68%
19%
13%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Jun. 1984 |
FCB
3 - 2
MLL
83%
12%
4%
|
89 | 73 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 1984 |
MLL
2 - 1
FCB
25%
27%
48%
|
89 | 71 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Real Zaragoza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 1984 |
ZAR
0 - 1
HER
76%
15%
9%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1984 |
ZAR
2 - 4
VAD
76%
14%
10%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 May. 1984 |
VAD
1 - 0
ZAR
45%
24%
31%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1984 |
OSA
1 - 4
ZAR
50%
24%
25%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1984 |
ZAR
1 - 1
SEV
64%
20%
17%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |