Barcelona vs Real Zaragoza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.8%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.2%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.1%
10.1%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 1983 |
FCB
0 - 1
ATH
77%
14%
9%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1983 |
CAD
1 - 1
FCB
20%
25%
55%
|
90 | 73 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1983 |
FCB
0 - 0
RSO
78%
15%
7%
|
90 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1983 |
VCF
2 - 4
FCB
33%
26%
41%
|
90 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1983 |
FCB
1 - 0
MAL
81%
13%
6%
|
90 | 76 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Real Zaragoza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 1983 |
ZAR
3 - 0
SLA
79%
14%
7%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1983 |
ZAR
1 - 1
SAB
87%
9%
5%
|
82 | 62 | 20 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1983 |
ZAR
2 - 4
ESP
75%
15%
10%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 1983 |
CAD
1 - 2
ZAR
36%
27%
37%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1983 |
ZAR
2 - 1
RSO
67%
20%
14%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | +1 |