Barcelona vs Real Zaragoza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.5%
Win probability
2.67
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.5%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.8%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.5%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
13.1%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.1%
6.5%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 1981 |
SLA
2 - 1
FCB
28%
29%
43%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1981 |
ATM
1 - 0
FCB
52%
25%
24%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1981 |
FCB
6 - 0
HER
81%
13%
6%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1981 |
BET
1 - 1
FCB
42%
27%
31%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1981 |
FCB
2 - 0
RSO
65%
21%
14%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Real Zaragoza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 1981 |
ZAR
1 - 1
HER
64%
21%
15%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1981 |
BET
2 - 0
ZAR
66%
20%
14%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1981 |
ZAR
0 - 1
RSO
44%
27%
28%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 1981 |
UDL
3 - 0
ZAR
62%
22%
16%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1981 |
ZAR
3 - 1
OSA
72%
18%
10%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |