Barcelona vs Real Zaragoza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.9%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
20%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20%
13.1%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 1970 |
GKS
0 - 1
FCB
38%
28%
35%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1970 |
ATH
1 - 1
FCB
55%
25%
20%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 1970 |
FCB
1 - 1
RMA
57%
22%
21%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1970 |
RMA
2 - 0
FCB
72%
17%
11%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 May. 1970 |
FCB
3 - 0
CEL
81%
13%
6%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Real Zaragoza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 1970 |
ZAR
0 - 0
MAL
70%
19%
12%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 1970 |
ZAR
1 - 0
VCF
65%
20%
15%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 1970 |
VCF
2 - 0
ZAR
64%
20%
16%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Jun. 1970 |
MUR
1 - 5
ZAR
20%
23%
56%
|
82 | 60 | 22 | +1 |
| 03 Jun. 1970 |
ZAR
4 - 0
MUR
87%
9%
4%
|
82 | 60 | 22 | 0 |