Barcelona vs Real Zaragoza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.7%
Win probability
3.26
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.7%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.8%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.5%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
4.3%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.7%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.7%
2-0
8%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.4%
11.1%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
11.1%
7.2%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 1963 |
FCB
1 - 0
VCF
76%
14%
10%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 1963 |
FCB
1 - 1
VCF
77%
14%
10%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 1963 |
VCF
2 - 2
FCB
55%
21%
25%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 1963 |
FCB
4 - 1
VAD
84%
10%
6%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 May. 1963 |
VAD
2 - 1
FCB
37%
23%
40%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Real Zaragoza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 1963 |
RMA
3 - 0
ZAR
89%
7%
3%
|
84 | 93 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 1963 |
ZAR
4 - 0
RMA
30%
22%
48%
|
84 | 93 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1963 |
ZAR
2 - 0
ATM
57%
20%
23%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 May. 1963 |
ATM
1 - 0
ZAR
76%
14%
10%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1963 |
ZAR
3 - 2
ATH
70%
16%
14%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |