Barcelona vs Real Zaragoza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
89.6%
Win probability
3.97
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.6%
10-1
0.2%
+9
0.7%
8-0
1.3%
9-1
0.5%
10-2
0.1%
+8
1.8%
7-0
2.6%
8-1
1%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
3.8%
6-0
4.6%
7-1
2.1%
8-2
0.4%
9-3
<0%
+6
7.1%
5-0
6.9%
6-1
3.7%
7-2
0.8%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
11.6%
4-0
8.7%
5-1
5.6%
6-2
1.5%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
16%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
7%
5-2
2.3%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.5%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
12.5%
6.7%
Draw
0-0
0.8%
1-1
2.7%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
6.7%
3.5%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
0.7%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
2.5%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 1961 |
FCB
3 - 0
BER
94%
4%
2%
|
89 | 12 | 77 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1961 |
RMA
2 - 0
FCB
81%
11%
8%
|
90 | 94 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 1961 |
FCB
4 - 2
ATH
83%
10%
7%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1961 |
BER
1 - 0
FCB
20%
22%
59%
|
90 | 11 | 79 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1961 |
CDT
1 - 3
FCB
16%
21%
63%
|
89 | 65 | 24 | +1 |
Matches
Real Zaragoza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 1961 |
ZAR
6 - 3
RSO
68%
18%
15%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1961 |
SEV
4 - 0
ZAR
61%
20%
19%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 1961 |
ZAR
6 - 1
RAC
73%
15%
12%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 1961 |
ELC
5 - 3
ZAR
53%
21%
26%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 1961 |
ZAR
3 - 0
VCF
55%
22%
23%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | +1 |