Barcelona vs Real Zaragoza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.6%
Win probability
3.33
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.9%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.2%
5-0
5.1%
6-1
2.5%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
8.2%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
4.4%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
13.4%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
6.7%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.2%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
5%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.7%
10.2%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
4.3%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
10.2%
6.1%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 1951 |
ATM
2 - 0
FCB
70%
15%
15%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1951 |
FCB
6 - 1
DEP
78%
13%
9%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1951 |
SPO
3 - 2
FCB
33%
23%
44%
|
86 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1951 |
FCB
3 - 1
RSO
74%
15%
12%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1951 |
VAD
1 - 1
FCB
40%
23%
37%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Real Zaragoza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 1951 |
ZAR
2 - 1
SPO
56%
20%
24%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1951 |
RSO
2 - 0
ZAR
78%
13%
9%
|
65 | 82 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1951 |
ZAR
2 - 1
VAD
45%
22%
33%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 1951 |
VCF
2 - 2
ZAR
83%
11%
7%
|
64 | 87 | 23 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1951 |
ZAR
0 - 5
ATM
28%
22%
50%
|
64 | 86 | 22 | 0 |