Barcelona vs Real Sociedad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.1%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.4%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.2%
8.6%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 1986 |
SPO
1 - 1
FCB
28%
26%
47%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1986 |
JUV
1 - 1
FCB
52%
25%
24%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1986 |
FCB
1 - 1
CEL
84%
11%
5%
|
90 | 65 | 25 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 1986 |
FCB
1 - 0
ATH
71%
20%
10%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 1986 |
RMA
3 - 1
FCB
52%
23%
25%
|
90 | 89 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Real Sociedad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 1986 |
RSO
6 - 0
HER
70%
19%
11%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1986 |
SEV
3 - 1
RSO
42%
28%
29%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 1986 |
RSO
1 - 0
ATH
48%
28%
24%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1986 |
OSA
1 - 2
RSO
43%
28%
30%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 1986 |
RSO
2 - 3
ATM
39%
26%
35%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |