Barcelona vs Real Sociedad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
93.8%
Win probability
4.17
Expected goals
10-0
0.4%
+10
0.4%
9-0
1%
10-1
0.2%
+9
1.2%
8-0
2.1%
9-1
0.5%
10-2
0.1%
+8
2.6%
7-0
4%
8-1
1.1%
9-2
0.1%
+7
5.2%
6-0
6.7%
7-1
2.1%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
9.1%
5-0
9.7%
6-1
3.5%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
<0%
+5
13.7%
4-0
11.6%
5-1
5%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
17.6%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.6%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.8%
4.3%
Draw
0-0
0.9%
1-1
2%
2-2
1.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
4.3%
1.5%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
0.5%
1-2
0.5%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
1.2%
0-2
0.1%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.2%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 1960 |
ZAG
1 - 1
FCB
21%
22%
58%
|
93 | 15 | 78 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1960 |
ATM
2 - 0
FCB
36%
23%
41%
|
93 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1960 |
LIE
0 - 3
FCB
14%
20%
66%
|
93 | 77 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1960 |
FCB
2 - 0
RAC
95%
4%
1%
|
93 | 66 | 27 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1960 |
FCB
2 - 0
LIE
95%
3%
1%
|
93 | 77 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Real Sociedad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 1960 |
RSO
2 - 0
OVI
58%
21%
21%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1960 |
MLL
0 - 0
RSO
44%
26%
30%
|
75 | 60 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1960 |
RSO
2 - 2
ZAR
58%
21%
21%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1960 |
RMA
3 - 1
RSO
94%
5%
2%
|
76 | 92 | 16 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 1960 |
RSO
1 - 0
GRA
61%
20%
19%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | +1 |