Barcelona vs Real Sociedad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.2%
Win probability
3.11
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.2%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.9%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.1%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.9%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
2.3%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
16.2%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.6%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.6%
13.2%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
13.2%
10.6%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
6.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 1942 |
VCF
4 - 2
FCB
69%
16%
15%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1942 |
FCB
0 - 2
RMA
41%
23%
36%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1942 |
CEL
1 - 0
FCB
54%
20%
27%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1942 |
FCB
1 - 2
ESP
50%
21%
28%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1942 |
HER
3 - 1
FCB
40%
22%
38%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Real Sociedad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 1942 |
RSO
0 - 1
ATH
34%
23%
43%
|
64 | 87 | 23 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1942 |
GRA
3 - 1
RSO
55%
20%
25%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 1942 |
RSO
1 - 2
ATM
36%
23%
42%
|
66 | 86 | 20 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 1942 |
RSO
0 - 3
VCF
35%
22%
44%
|
66 | 85 | 19 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1942 |
RMA
6 - 4
RSO
82%
11%
7%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | 0 |