Barcelona vs Real Sociedad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.4%
Win probability
2.86
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.9%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.7%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.9%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
14.4%
11.2%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 1928 |
FCB
4 - 1
ISC
84%
10%
6%
|
85 | 59 | 26 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1927 |
FCB
3 - 4
ARE
82%
11%
7%
|
86 | 65 | 21 | -1 |
| 02 May. 1927 |
FCB
1 - 0
BET
74%
15%
11%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 1927 |
BET
1 - 0
FCB
35%
23%
41%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 1927 |
FCB
4 - 1
BET
75%
15%
11%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Real Sociedad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 1928 |
PAT
0 - 3
RSO
22%
23%
56%
|
76 | 47 | 29 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1927 |
ARE
2 - 1
RSO
39%
23%
37%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 1927 |
RSO
4 - 1
ARE
70%
17%
13%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 1927 |
ISC
2 - 4
RSO
34%
24%
42%
|
76 | 60 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1927 |
ARE
4 - 2
RSO
37%
24%
40%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | -1 |