Barcelona vs Real Oviedo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.1%
Win probability
2.91
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
4.7%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
6%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
2.2%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
14.5%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3.8%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.6%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
15.3%
14.6%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 1944 |
ATM
1 - 1
FCB
60%
18%
22%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1944 |
FCB
1 - 1
SEV
64%
17%
19%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1944 |
SEV
5 - 2
FCB
59%
18%
22%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1944 |
FCB
4 - 1
CON
86%
9%
5%
|
84 | 67 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1944 |
CON
0 - 0
FCB
25%
21%
55%
|
84 | 66 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Real Oviedo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 1944 |
OVI
4 - 0
RMA
60%
19%
21%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1944 |
OVI
1 - 3
MUR
81%
11%
8%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | -1 |
| 14 May. 1944 |
MUR
1 - 2
OVI
44%
22%
35%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1944 |
RAC
3 - 0
OVI
29%
21%
50%
|
81 | 55 | 26 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 1944 |
OVI
8 - 1
RAC
86%
8%
5%
|
80 | 56 | 24 | +1 |