Barcelona vs Real Oviedo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.9%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.7%
21.4%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 1941 |
SEV
1 - 2
FCB
69%
16%
15%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1941 |
FCB
2 - 1
DEP
75%
14%
11%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1941 |
ATM
5 - 4
FCB
68%
16%
16%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1941 |
ATH
6 - 3
FCB
76%
13%
11%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 1941 |
FCB
4 - 0
GRA
87%
8%
4%
|
81 | 61 | 20 | +1 |
Matches
Real Oviedo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 1941 |
OVI
2 - 1
ATH
43%
22%
35%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1941 |
GRA
8 - 0
OVI
24%
20%
56%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 1941 |
OVI
3 - 1
RSO
77%
12%
11%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1941 |
VCF
5 - 2
OVI
68%
17%
15%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1941 |
OVI
2 - 2
RMA
45%
22%
33%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | 0 |