Barcelona vs Real Oviedo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.2%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
19%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19%
21.8%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 1941 |
ESP
3 - 1
FCB
59%
19%
22%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1941 |
FCB
2 - 4
ATM
58%
20%
22%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 1941 |
HER
1 - 3
FCB
44%
22%
34%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Dec. 1940 |
FCB
2 - 0
ZAR
72%
16%
12%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1940 |
VCF
3 - 1
FCB
48%
21%
31%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Real Oviedo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 1941 |
OVI
0 - 2
ATH
49%
21%
31%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1941 |
RMA
1 - 0
OVI
74%
14%
12%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1941 |
OVI
2 - 1
MUR
86%
8%
5%
|
79 | 62 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1940 |
CEL
3 - 1
OVI
49%
20%
32%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1940 |
SEV
4 - 1
OVI
64%
17%
19%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | -1 |