Barcelona vs Real Murcia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.2%
Win probability
2.81
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
3%
5-0
5.1%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.6%
4-0
9.2%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.3%
3-0
13.1%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.7%
2-0
14%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
10%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
11.2%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
11.2%
4.6%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.7%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2003 |
MLL
1 - 3
FCB
40%
26%
34%
|
91 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2003 |
FCB
0 - 2
DEP
55%
22%
23%
|
91 | 92 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2003 |
FCB
8 - 0
PUC
85%
11%
5%
|
91 | 73 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2003 |
GRA
0 - 1
FCB
12%
23%
65%
|
91 | 58 | 33 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2003 |
FCB
0 - 1
VCF
59%
22%
19%
|
91 | 92 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2003 |
MUR
1 - 3
ATM
33%
26%
41%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2003 |
OSA
2 - 1
MUR
63%
22%
15%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2003 |
LOR
1 - 2
MUR
20%
27%
53%
|
79 | 54 | 25 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2003 |
MUR
1 - 0
ALB
57%
24%
19%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2003 |
SEV
1 - 0
MUR
67%
21%
13%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |