Barcelona vs Real Murcia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.2%
Win probability
3.05
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.4%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.4%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.3%
11.4%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
11.4%
6.4%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 1947 |
OVI
2 - 3
FCB
47%
22%
31%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1947 |
FCB
3 - 2
ATM
63%
18%
19%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1947 |
VCF
4 - 0
FCB
59%
19%
22%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1947 |
FCB
5 - 0
DEP
82%
12%
7%
|
86 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1947 |
FCB
5 - 1
SEV
62%
19%
19%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 1947 |
MUR
1 - 1
SEV
23%
21%
56%
|
68 | 85 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1947 |
CEL
6 - 0
MUR
78%
13%
10%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 1947 |
MUR
0 - 0
SAB
50%
22%
29%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1947 |
SPO
4 - 1
MUR
68%
17%
15%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 1947 |
MUR
1 - 1
RMA
32%
26%
43%
|
69 | 86 | 17 | +1 |