Barcelona vs Real Murcia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.2%
Win probability
3.02
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.2%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.9%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.2%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.2%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.8%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.9%
12.8%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
12.8%
8.9%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.1%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 1945 |
SAB
0 - 1
FCB
32%
24%
44%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1945 |
FCB
1 - 2
ATH
62%
18%
20%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 1945 |
FCB
3 - 1
CAS
74%
15%
12%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 1945 |
GRA
1 - 2
FCB
41%
22%
37%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1945 |
ZAR
0 - 5
FCB
36%
22%
42%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 1945 |
MUR
0 - 0
ATM
38%
24%
38%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1945 |
SEV
4 - 0
MUR
79%
12%
9%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1945 |
MUR
2 - 2
ATH
39%
23%
39%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1945 |
MUR
3 - 3
BAR
75%
14%
11%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1945 |
VCF
9 - 3
MUR
82%
11%
7%
|
73 | 87 | 14 | -1 |