Barcelona vs Real Murcia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.4%
Win probability
3.27
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.7%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.9%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
2.4%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.7%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
4.3%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.9%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.9%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
5%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.2%
10.8%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
10.8%
6.8%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun. 1942 |
FCB
4 - 3
ATH
51%
21%
28%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 1942 |
FCB
3 - 2
VCF
46%
21%
34%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Jun. 1942 |
VCF
1 - 2
FCB
73%
14%
13%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1942 |
FCB
3 - 2
ESP
59%
19%
22%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1942 |
ESP
2 - 3
FCB
59%
19%
22%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 1942 |
VAD
3 - 1
MUR
54%
20%
25%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1942 |
VAD
4 - 1
MUR
49%
21%
30%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 May. 1942 |
MUR
3 - 0
VAD
64%
18%
19%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 May. 1942 |
ALI
1 - 2
MUR
28%
22%
50%
|
63 | 39 | 24 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1942 |
MUR
1 - 1
ALI
84%
10%
6%
|
63 | 39 | 24 | 0 |