Barcelona vs Real Murcia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83%
Win probability
3.19
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.7%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.8%
5-0
5%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.6%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.9%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.2%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.5%
10.7%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
10.7%
6.2%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 1926 |
FCB
3 - 2
ATM
66%
18%
17%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1926 |
FCB
2 - 1
RUN
79%
12%
8%
|
85 | 67 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1926 |
FCB
3 - 0
RMA
70%
16%
14%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1926 |
RMA
1 - 5
FCB
45%
23%
33%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1926 |
FCB
3 - 0
ZAR
86%
9%
5%
|
84 | 48 | 36 | +1 |
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 1927 |
MUR
2 - 1
VCF
32%
24%
44%
|
60 | 78 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1926 |
MUR
1 - 2
RMA
28%
24%
49%
|
60 | 80 | 20 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1926 |
SEV
3 - 0
MUR
69%
17%
14%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 1926 |
RMA
6 - 2
MUR
76%
14%
10%
|
61 | 79 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1926 |
MUR
2 - 2
SEV
34%
24%
43%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | 0 |