Barcelona vs Real Madrid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.8%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
29.2%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.4%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2002 |
FCB
0 - 0
LIV
59%
21%
20%
|
90 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2002 |
BET
2 - 1
FCB
27%
25%
48%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2002 |
FCB
5 - 1
MAL
73%
16%
11%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2002 |
ROM
3 - 0
FCB
42%
25%
32%
|
91 | 90 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2002 |
VCF
2 - 0
FCB
43%
25%
32%
|
91 | 91 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2002 |
RMA
3 - 0
SPA
80%
13%
7%
|
92 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2002 |
RMA
3 - 0
VIL
79%
14%
8%
|
92 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2002 |
RMA
1 - 2
DEP
66%
18%
16%
|
92 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2002 |
CEL
0 - 1
RMA
37%
25%
39%
|
92 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2002 |
FCP
1 - 2
RMA
35%
25%
40%
|
92 | 88 | 4 | 0 |