Supercopa Final
Global 2-3Barcelona vs Real Madrid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.4%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
30.2%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 1988 |
OSA
1 - 1
FCB
34%
30%
36%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1988 |
RMA
2 - 0
FCB
75%
16%
9%
|
88 | 90 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 1988 |
FCB
1 - 1
VCF
76%
16%
8%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1988 |
ELC
0 - 3
FCB
22%
31%
47%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1988 |
FRA
0 - 2
FCB
35%
30%
34%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 1988 |
BET
0 - 2
RMA
18%
25%
57%
|
90 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1988 |
RMA
2 - 0
FCB
75%
16%
9%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1988 |
RMA
2 - 2
RSO
77%
15%
8%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1988 |
SPO
2 - 2
RMA
22%
27%
51%
|
90 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1988 |
RMA
3 - 0
MOS
86%
10%
4%
|
90 | 74 | 16 | 0 |