Barcelona vs Real Madrid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.1%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
17.6%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 1983 |
RSO
1 - 2
FCB
42%
28%
30%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1983 |
FCB
2 - 0
RSO
71%
19%
10%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1983 |
OSA
1 - 0
FCB
31%
26%
43%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1983 |
FCB
7 - 2
UDL
80%
13%
7%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1983 |
FCB
3 - 0
ATH
63%
22%
15%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 1983 |
SPO
4 - 0
RMA
36%
28%
36%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1983 |
ABE
2 - 1
RMA
43%
28%
29%
|
90 | 82 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 May. 1983 |
RMA
6 - 0
SPO
80%
15%
6%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 May. 1983 |
VCF
1 - 0
RMA
34%
27%
39%
|
90 | 81 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 1983 |
RMA
3 - 1
AUS
79%
15%
7%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | +1 |