Barcelona vs Real Madrid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.7%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
17.6%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 1976 |
BEL
2 - 2
FCB
41%
27%
32%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1976 |
RAC
1 - 0
FCB
31%
27%
42%
|
86 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1976 |
FCB
4 - 0
UDL
77%
15%
8%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 1976 |
ATM
1 - 1
FCB
59%
23%
19%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1976 |
FCB
2 - 3
ATM
68%
19%
12%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 1976 |
STA
1 - 2
RMA
36%
29%
35%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1976 |
RMA
2 - 3
ATH
74%
17%
10%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1976 |
SLA
0 - 1
RMA
32%
28%
40%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1976 |
RMA
1 - 0
ATM
64%
21%
16%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1976 |
GRA
1 - 2
RMA
32%
28%
40%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |