Barcelona vs Real Madrid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70%
Win probability
2.89
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
4.6%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
14.5%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3.7%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.7%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
15.4%
14.6%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 1960 |
GRA
1 - 1
FCB
15%
21%
64%
|
93 | 74 | 19 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1960 |
FCB
2 - 1
RMA
71%
15%
14%
|
93 | 93 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1960 |
FCB
2 - 2
SEV
89%
7%
4%
|
93 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1960 |
VCF
0 - 2
FCB
23%
24%
53%
|
93 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1960 |
RMA
2 - 2
FCB
67%
17%
16%
|
93 | 93 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 1960 |
RMA
7 - 0
OVI
93%
5%
2%
|
92 | 74 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1960 |
FCB
2 - 1
RMA
71%
15%
14%
|
93 | 93 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 1960 |
MLL
1 - 1
RMA
11%
19%
70%
|
93 | 61 | 32 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1960 |
RMA
5 - 1
ZAR
92%
5%
2%
|
93 | 75 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1960 |
RMA
2 - 2
FCB
67%
17%
16%
|
93 | 93 | 0 | 0 |