Barcelona vs Real Madrid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.9%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.7%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
18.2%
18%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 1947 |
CAS
4 - 1
FCB
34%
23%
43%
|
86 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1947 |
FCB
5 - 0
ESP
77%
13%
10%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1947 |
ATH
1 - 0
FCB
66%
17%
17%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1947 |
FCB
6 - 2
MUR
82%
11%
6%
|
86 | 68 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1947 |
OVI
2 - 3
FCB
47%
22%
31%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 1947 |
RMA
3 - 0
SEV
65%
18%
18%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1947 |
CEL
3 - 4
RMA
54%
21%
26%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1947 |
RMA
1 - 3
SAB
78%
13%
9%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1947 |
SPO
2 - 1
RMA
42%
23%
35%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1947 |
DEP
2 - 2
RMA
32%
26%
43%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | 0 |