Barcelona vs Real Madrid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.3%
Win probability
2.7
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.9%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
16.4%
15.2%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 1944 |
SAB
3 - 2
FCB
28%
23%
49%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1944 |
FCB
3 - 1
OVI
71%
15%
14%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1944 |
CEL
2 - 2
FCB
33%
23%
44%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1944 |
FCB
1 - 3
ESP
77%
13%
10%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1944 |
CAS
3 - 0
FCB
37%
22%
41%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 1944 |
RMA
1 - 1
VCF
56%
20%
24%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1944 |
ATH
1 - 2
RMA
69%
16%
15%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 1944 |
RSO
2 - 1
RMA
37%
25%
38%
|
85 | 68 | 17 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 1944 |
RMA
4 - 1
SAB
80%
12%
8%
|
85 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1944 |
OVI
2 - 0
RMA
59%
19%
22%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |