Barcelona vs Real Madrid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.3%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.8%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
35.5%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
8%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.5%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 1942 |
CEL
1 - 0
FCB
54%
20%
27%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1942 |
FCB
1 - 2
ESP
50%
21%
28%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1942 |
HER
3 - 1
FCB
40%
22%
38%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 1941 |
CAS
1 - 1
FCB
18%
17%
66%
|
82 | 64 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1941 |
FCB
6 - 3
OVI
60%
19%
21%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 1942 |
RMA
3 - 2
ATH
64%
18%
18%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1942 |
GRA
3 - 1
RMA
22%
22%
57%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1942 |
RMA
6 - 4
RSO
82%
11%
7%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1941 |
RMA
5 - 3
VCF
64%
18%
18%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1941 |
ATM
2 - 0
RMA
56%
20%
24%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |