Barcelona vs Real Madrid analysis

Barcelona Real Madrid
84 ELO 89
15.5% Tilt 11.5%
General ELO ranking
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
53.2%
Barcelona
20.1%
Draw
26.6%
Real Madrid

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.2%
Win probability
Barcelona
2.25
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.1%
26.6%
Win probability
Real Madrid
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Barcelona
+2%
-6%
Real Madrid

ELO progression

Barcelona
Real Madrid
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Barcelona
Barcelona
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Dec. 1935
FCB
Barcelona
5 - 2
Real Oviedo
OVI
66%
16%
18%
84 80 4 0
08 Dec. 1935
RAC
Racing
4 - 0
Barcelona
FCB
48%
20%
31%
84 76 8 0
01 Dec. 1935
FCB
Barcelona
4 - 1
Sevilla
SEV
72%
15%
13%
84 79 5 0
24 Nov. 1935
VCF
Valencia
1 - 2
Barcelona
FCB
45%
21%
34%
84 76 8 0
17 Nov. 1935
FCB
Barcelona
5 - 1
Atlético
ATM
73%
15%
13%
83 76 7 +1

Matches

Real Madrid
Real Madrid
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Dec. 1935
RMA
Real Madrid
2 - 4
Racing
RAC
73%
14%
13%
89 77 12 0
08 Dec. 1935
SEV
Sevilla
2 - 1
Real Madrid
RMA
39%
22%
39%
89 78 11 0
01 Dec. 1935
RMA
Real Madrid
4 - 1
Valencia
VCF
74%
14%
12%
89 75 14 0
24 Nov. 1935
ATM
Atlético
2 - 3
Real Madrid
RMA
39%
22%
39%
89 76 13 0
17 Nov. 1935
RMA
Real Madrid
6 - 0
Espanyol
ESP
71%
15%
14%
89 79 10 0