Barcelona vs Real Madrid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.4%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.1%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.9%
14.7%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 1930 |
ESP
4 - 0
FCB
39%
23%
37%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1930 |
FCB
1 - 1
ATH
73%
15%
12%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1930 |
FCB
4 - 2
ATM
78%
13%
9%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1929 |
RUN
1 - 3
FCB
33%
23%
44%
|
89 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1929 |
FCB
5 - 0
RAC
82%
11%
7%
|
89 | 70 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 1930 |
RMA
5 - 2
ARE
74%
15%
12%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1930 |
EUR
1 - 2
RMA
15%
16%
69%
|
83 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1930 |
RMA
6 - 0
RAC
82%
10%
7%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1929 |
RMA
2 - 4
ESP
58%
20%
23%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1929 |
RSO
4 - 0
RMA
53%
21%
27%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | -1 |