Barcelona vs Real Madrid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.9%
Win probability
2.91
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
4.9%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.4%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
15%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.6%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.7%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
14.9%
13.2%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 1929 |
RAC
0 - 2
FCB
31%
23%
46%
|
87 | 71 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1929 |
FCB
1 - 1
ESP
71%
15%
14%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 1929 |
ESP
2 - 0
FCB
44%
22%
34%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 1929 |
FCB
2 - 0
SEV
79%
12%
9%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1929 |
SEV
0 - 1
FCB
34%
23%
43%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 1929 |
RMA
5 - 0
EUR
82%
11%
8%
|
81 | 55 | 26 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1929 |
ESP
2 - 1
RMA
55%
20%
25%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1929 |
ATH
1 - 4
RMA
59%
20%
22%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 1929 |
RMA
3 - 1
ATH
59%
20%
22%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 1929 |
RCM
2 - 6
RMA
31%
23%
46%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | 0 |