Copa del Rey Quarter-finals
Global 8-1Barcelona vs Real Madrid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.1%
Win probability
2.69
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
7%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.1%
13.8%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 1926 |
RMA
1 - 5
FCB
45%
23%
33%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1926 |
FCB
3 - 0
ZAR
86%
9%
5%
|
85 | 50 | 35 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1926 |
LEV
1 - 4
FCB
17%
21%
61%
|
85 | 50 | 35 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1926 |
ZAR
0 - 7
FCB
18%
21%
61%
|
85 | 48 | 37 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1926 |
FCB
5 - 0
LEV
86%
9%
5%
|
85 | 50 | 35 | 0 |
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 1926 |
RMA
1 - 5
FCB
45%
23%
33%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1926 |
RMA
2 - 3
SEV
61%
19%
20%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1926 |
MUR
1 - 2
RMA
28%
24%
49%
|
80 | 61 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1926 |
SEV
0 - 1
RMA
44%
23%
32%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1926 |
RMA
6 - 2
MUR
76%
14%
10%
|
80 | 63 | 17 | 0 |