Barcelona vs Real Madrid analysis

Barcelona Real Madrid
83 ELO 82
0.1% Tilt 1.9%
General ELO ranking
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
62%
Barcelona
19.5%
Draw
18.5%
Real Madrid

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62%
Win probability
Barcelona
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.8%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.4%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
18.5%
Win probability
Real Madrid
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Barcelona
+1%
+2%
Real Madrid

ELO progression

Barcelona
Real Madrid
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Barcelona
Barcelona
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Mar. 1913
FCB
Barcelona
2 - 1
Real Sociedad
RSO
69%
17%
14%
83 79 4 0
17 Mar. 1913
FCB
Barcelona
0 - 0
Real Sociedad
RSO
69%
17%
14%
83 79 4 0
16 Mar. 1913
RSO
Real Sociedad
2 - 2
Barcelona
FCB
45%
23%
32%
83 79 4 0
07 Apr. 1912
FCB
Barcelona
2 - 0
Gimnástica Española
SGE
95%
4%
1%
83 9 74 0
31 Mar. 1912
FCB
Barcelona
3 - 0
FC Espanya
FEB
95%
4%
1%
83 12 71 0

Matches

Real Madrid
Real Madrid
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Mar. 1913
RMA
Real Madrid
0 - 3
Athletic
ATH
62%
19%
19%
83 82 1 0
21 Mar. 1910
VAS
Vasconia SC
2 - 0
Real Madrid
RMA
4%
15%
81%
83 10 73 0
19 Mar. 1910
ATH
Athletic
2 - 0
Real Madrid
RMA
55%
21%
24%
83 81 2 0
12 Apr. 1908
RMA
Real Madrid
2 - 1
Vigo Sporting
RVS
94%
4%
1%
83 23 60 0
30 Mar. 1907
RMA
Real Madrid
1 - 0
FC Vizcaya
FCV
95%
4%
1%
83 18 65 0
X