Copa del Rey 1/16
Global 10-2
Barcelona vs Racing Ferrol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
95.8%
Win probability
4.83
Expected goals
10-0
1%
+10
1%
9-0
2%
10-1
0.4%
+9
2.4%
8-0
3.7%
9-1
0.9%
10-2
0.1%
+8
4.7%
7-0
6.1%
8-1
1.7%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
8.1%
6-0
8.9%
7-1
2.8%
8-2
0.4%
9-3
<0%
+6
12.1%
5-0
11%
6-1
4.1%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
15.8%
4-0
11.4%
5-1
5.1%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
17.6%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.1%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
2.4%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.4%
2.4%
Draw
0-0
0.5%
1-1
1.1%
2-2
0.6%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
2.4%
0.7%
Win probability
0.46
Expected goals
0-1
0.2%
1-2
0.3%
2-3
0.1%
3-4
0%
-1
0.6%
0-2
0.1%
1-3
0%
2-4
0%
-2
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 1960 |
RMA
3 - 1
FCB
61%
18%
20%
|
93 | 92 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1960 |
FCB
5 - 0
ZAR
94%
4%
2%
|
93 | 75 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1960 |
ESP
0 - 1
FCB
18%
22%
59%
|
93 | 82 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1960 |
FCB
2 - 1
VCF
91%
6%
3%
|
93 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1960 |
BIR
0 - 0
FCB
18%
21%
62%
|
93 | 80 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Racing Ferrol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 1960 |
CEL
5 - 2
RCF
72%
16%
11%
|
54 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1960 |
RCF
1 - 1
CDC
48%
25%
28%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 1960 |
RCF
0 - 3
RAC
45%
25%
30%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 1960 |
CUL
1 - 1
RCF
60%
20%
19%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1960 |
RCF
5 - 2
ALA
57%
21%
22%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | +1 |