Europa League Last 16
Global 8-1
Barcelona vs Osters IF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.6%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.4%
4-0
6%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.1%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.6%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15.4%
10%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 1976 |
CEL
0 - 0
FCB
28%
28%
44%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1976 |
FCB
6 - 1
VCF
73%
16%
11%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1976 |
OIF
0 - 3
FCB
49%
25%
27%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1976 |
ZAR
0 - 0
FCB
46%
24%
30%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1976 |
FCB
3 - 0
BUR
85%
11%
5%
|
86 | 68 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Osters IF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 1976 |
OIF
0 - 3
FCB
49%
25%
27%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1976 |
OIF
4 - 1
HIB
61%
20%
20%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 1976 |
HAL
2 - 0
OIF
38%
25%
37%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1976 |
HIB
2 - 0
OIF
44%
22%
34%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1976 |
OIF
2 - 2
ELF
72%
17%
11%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |