Barcelona vs Newcastle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.6%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.8%
11.1%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 1997 |
OVI
1 - 0
FCB
20%
23%
57%
|
90 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1997 |
FCB
3 - 2
CEL
81%
13%
6%
|
90 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1997 |
ATH
3 - 0
FCB
25%
24%
51%
|
90 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1997 |
FCB
1 - 2
VAD
85%
11%
4%
|
90 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1997 |
FCB
0 - 4
DYN
76%
15%
9%
|
91 | 85 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 1997 |
NEW
2 - 1
SOU
72%
17%
11%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1997 |
DER
0 - 1
NEW
38%
27%
36%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1997 |
COV
2 - 2
NEW
29%
27%
44%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1997 |
NEW
0 - 2
PSV
44%
24%
32%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1997 |
NEW
3 - 3
LEI
73%
17%
10%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |