Champions League Last 16
Global 4-2
Barcelona vs Napoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.5%
Win probability
2.68
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.1%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.1%
3-0
10%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.6%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.1%
8.4%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2020 |
ALA
0 - 5
FCB
7%
17%
76%
|
93 | 82 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2020 |
FCB
1 - 2
OSA
89%
8%
3%
|
94 | 82 | 12 | -1 |
| 11 Jul. 2020 |
VAD
0 - 1
FCB
6%
16%
78%
|
94 | 80 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2020 |
FCB
1 - 0
ESP
89%
8%
3%
|
93 | 82 | 11 | +1 |
| 05 Jul. 2020 |
VIL
1 - 4
FCB
18%
22%
61%
|
93 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2020 |
NAP
3 - 1
LAZ
54%
23%
23%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2020 |
INT
2 - 0
NAP
51%
24%
25%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2020 |
NAP
2 - 0
SAS
69%
19%
12%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2020 |
PAR
2 - 1
NAP
16%
23%
62%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | -1 |
| 19 Jul. 2020 |
NAP
2 - 1
UDI
76%
16%
8%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | +1 |