Barcelona vs Napoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.1%
Win probability
2.73
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.8%
5-0
5%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.3%
4-0
9.2%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
12%
3-0
13.5%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.7%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
11.4%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
11.4%
4.5%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.6%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2011 |
FCB
3 - 2
RMA
50%
22%
28%
|
96 | 95 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
RMA
2 - 2
FCB
44%
22%
35%
|
96 | 95 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2011 |
FCB
0 - 3
ESP
85%
11%
4%
|
96 | 83 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
AME
0 - 2
FCB
3%
12%
85%
|
96 | 7 | 89 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2011 |
CHI
4 - 1
FCB
10%
19%
71%
|
96 | 70 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
MLL
0 - 1
NAP
51%
24%
25%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2011 |
NAP
1 - 2
SEV
29%
25%
46%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2011 |
JUV
2 - 2
NAP
56%
23%
22%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
NAP
1 - 1
INT
24%
26%
50%
|
85 | 91 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
LEC
2 - 1
NAP
29%
26%
45%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |