Barcelona vs Manchester United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.7%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
23.6%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2011 |
MAL
1 - 3
FCB
9%
18%
74%
|
96 | 83 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
FCB
0 - 0
DEP
88%
9%
3%
|
96 | 83 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2011 |
LEV
1 - 1
FCB
7%
16%
77%
|
96 | 80 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
FCB
2 - 0
ESP
88%
9%
3%
|
96 | 84 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2011 |
FCB
1 - 1
RMA
61%
21%
19%
|
96 | 94 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2011 |
MUD
1 - 2
JUV
76%
16%
8%
|
95 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2011 |
MUD
4 - 2
BPO
85%
11%
4%
|
95 | 75 | 20 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
BBU
1 - 1
MUD
12%
22%
67%
|
95 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
MUD
2 - 1
CHL
54%
23%
23%
|
95 | 94 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2011 |
MUD
4 - 1
S04
71%
18%
11%
|
95 | 89 | 6 | 0 |