Champions League Semi-finals
Global 0-1
Barcelona vs Manchester United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.2%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
35.8%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2008 |
FCB
0 - 0
ESP
71%
19%
11%
|
94 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2008 |
REC
2 - 2
FCB
18%
23%
59%
|
94 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2008 |
FCB
1 - 0
S04
73%
17%
10%
|
94 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2008 |
FCB
0 - 0
GET
71%
18%
11%
|
94 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2008 |
S04
0 - 1
FCB
20%
25%
55%
|
94 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2008 |
BBU
1 - 1
MUD
19%
24%
58%
|
96 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2008 |
MUD
2 - 1
ARS
55%
24%
22%
|
96 | 94 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2008 |
MUD
1 - 0
ROM
67%
20%
13%
|
96 | 91 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2008 |
MID
2 - 2
MUD
15%
22%
63%
|
96 | 84 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2008 |
ROM
0 - 2
MUD
31%
26%
44%
|
96 | 91 | 5 | 0 |