Cup Winners Cup 1/16
Global 7-1
Barcelona vs Lisburn Distillery analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.8%
Win probability
3.09
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.7%
6-0
3%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.9%
5-0
5.8%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.9%
4-0
9.5%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.6%
3-0
12.2%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.1%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.5%
9.8%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.8%
4.4%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.4%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 1971 |
SPO
1 - 0
FCB
37%
29%
35%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1971 |
FCB
1 - 2
UDL
79%
15%
7%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 1971 |
LIS
1 - 3
FCB
30%
28%
42%
|
88 | 62 | 26 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1971 |
ESP
3 - 0
FCB
31%
31%
38%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1971 |
FCB
3 - 0
RSO
78%
15%
7%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Lisburn Distillery
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 1971 |
LIS
1 - 3
FCB
30%
28%
42%
|
62 | 88 | 26 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1963 |
SLB
5 - 0
LIS
88%
8%
4%
|
63 | 88 | 25 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 1963 |
LIS
3 - 3
SLB
25%
22%
53%
|
62 | 88 | 26 | +1 |