Champions League 1/16
Global 5-0
Barcelona vs Lierse SK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
94.7%
Win probability
4.52
Expected goals
10-0
0.6%
+10
0.6%
9-0
1.4%
10-1
0.3%
+9
1.7%
8-0
2.8%
9-1
0.7%
10-2
0.1%
+8
3.6%
7-0
4.9%
8-1
1.5%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
6.6%
6-0
7.5%
7-1
2.6%
8-2
0.4%
9-3
<0%
+6
10.6%
5-0
10%
6-1
4%
7-2
0.7%
8-3
0.1%
+5
14.8%
4-0
11.1%
5-1
5.4%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.1%
+4
17.7%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.4%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.1%
3.4%
Draw
0-0
0.6%
1-1
1.5%
2-2
0.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
3.4%
1.2%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
0.3%
1-2
0.4%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
1%
0-2
0.1%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.2%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 1960 |
BET
1 - 3
FCB
18%
22%
60%
|
93 | 75 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1960 |
FCB
2 - 0
VAD
94%
5%
2%
|
93 | 76 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1960 |
ATH
0 - 2
FCB
42%
23%
36%
|
93 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 1960 |
ATH
3 - 0
FCB
36%
23%
41%
|
93 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 1960 |
FCB
3 - 1
ATH
89%
7%
4%
|
93 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Lierse SK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 1960 |
LIE
2 - 2
SDL
48%
23%
30%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1959 |
GEN
4 - 0
LIE
54%
22%
24%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1959 |
STR
0 - 2
LIE
38%
24%
38%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1959 |
LIE
3 - 0
LIE
52%
22%
26%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1959 |
DCM
0 - 2
LIE
49%
23%
28%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | +3 |