Europa League 1/16
Global 7-0
Barcelona vs Lazio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.2%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.4%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.1%
7%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 1975 |
OVI
1 - 1
FCB
26%
28%
46%
|
87 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1975 |
LAZ
0 - 3
FCB
41%
28%
31%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1975 |
FCB
2 - 1
RAC
78%
14%
8%
|
87 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1975 |
ATM
3 - 0
FCB
52%
25%
24%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1975 |
FCB
3 - 0
GRA
78%
15%
7%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 1975 |
LAZ
1 - 1
BOL
57%
24%
19%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1975 |
LAZ
0 - 3
FCB
41%
28%
31%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 1975 |
PRG
2 - 0
LAZ
31%
32%
38%
|
81 | 64 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1975 |
LAZ
1 - 1
INT
46%
26%
28%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1975 |
SAM
0 - 1
LAZ
40%
29%
31%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |