Qualif. Champions Tercera ronda Final
Global 4-0
Barcelona vs Legia Warszawa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.6%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.2%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.4%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.2%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.3%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.6%
6.8%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2002 |
ZAR
1 - 1
FCB
31%
25%
43%
|
90 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2002 |
FCB
2 - 0
ESP
73%
16%
10%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2002 |
RMA
1 - 1
FCB
62%
20%
18%
|
90 | 92 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2002 |
FCB
4 - 1
VIL
75%
15%
10%
|
90 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2002 |
FCB
0 - 2
RMA
50%
23%
27%
|
90 | 92 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Legia Warszawa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2002 |
AMI
1 - 1
WAR
40%
25%
35%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2002 |
WAR
1 - 1
VAR
65%
21%
15%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2002 |
DYS
3 - 3
WAR
33%
26%
42%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2002 |
VAR
1 - 3
WAR
37%
26%
37%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2002 |
RCH
1 - 1
WAR
44%
25%
31%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |