Champions League Playoffs Quarter-finals
Global 0-3
Barcelona vs Juventus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.4%
Win probability
2.81
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.4%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.5%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.5%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.6%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.1%
13.7%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.7%
8.9%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
FCB
3 - 2
RSO
89%
8%
3%
|
95 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2017 |
JUV
3 - 0
FCB
26%
23%
52%
|
95 | 92 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
MAL
2 - 0
FCB
7%
15%
78%
|
96 | 85 | 11 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2017 |
FCB
3 - 0
SEV
89%
8%
3%
|
95 | 87 | 8 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
GRA
1 - 4
FCB
3%
11%
86%
|
95 | 78 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Juventus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
PES
0 - 2
JUV
9%
20%
71%
|
92 | 68 | 24 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2017 |
JUV
3 - 0
FCB
26%
23%
52%
|
92 | 95 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
JUV
2 - 0
CHI
81%
14%
5%
|
92 | 80 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2017 |
NAP
3 - 2
JUV
45%
25%
30%
|
92 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
NAP
1 - 1
JUV
41%
25%
34%
|
92 | 89 | 3 | 0 |