Champions League Eliminatorias Semi-finals
Global 2-3
Barcelona vs Inter analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.8%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
19%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19%
14%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2010 |
FCB
3 - 1
XER
89%
8%
3%
|
96 | 78 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2010 |
INT
3 - 1
FCB
33%
26%
41%
|
96 | 92 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2010 |
ESP
0 - 0
FCB
12%
21%
67%
|
96 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2010 |
FCB
3 - 0
DEP
86%
10%
4%
|
96 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2010 |
RMA
0 - 2
FCB
43%
23%
33%
|
96 | 93 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Inter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2010 |
INT
3 - 1
ATL
79%
15%
6%
|
93 | 78 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2010 |
INT
3 - 1
FCB
33%
26%
41%
|
92 | 96 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2010 |
INT
2 - 0
JUV
63%
21%
16%
|
92 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2010 |
FIO
0 - 1
INT
33%
26%
40%
|
92 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2010 |
FIO
2 - 2
INT
28%
26%
46%
|
92 | 86 | 6 | 0 |